EdgeGoat
Trevor Lawrence
Jacksonville Jaguars · #16 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trevor Lawrence | Under 265.5 Pass YdsJAX @ CIN | 62.4% | 54.5%−120 | +7.8% |
- Under 265.5 Pass YdsJAX @ CIN+7.8%
- Model
- 62.4%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 15.5 rushYards | Sep 27 · projected 11.8 | 11.8 | 57.5% | 51.2% | lost(25) |
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 60.9% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Under 19.5 passCompletions | Sep 20 · projected 17.8 | 17.8 | 59.6% | 52.4% | won(17) |
| Over 1.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 3.7 | 3.7 | 92.0% | 91.7% | won(2) |
| Under 20.5 passCompletions | Sep 13 · projected 18.3 | 18.3 | 60.9% | 54.5% | won(18) |
- Under 15.5 rushYardsSep 27 · projected 11.8lost(25)
- Model
- 57.5%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 60.9%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 19.5 passCompletionsSep 20 · projected 17.8won(17)
- Model
- 59.6%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 1.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 3.7won(2)
- Model
- 92.0%
- Book
- 91.7%
- Under 20.5 passCompletionsSep 13 · projected 18.3won(18)
- Model
- 60.9%
- Book
- 54.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Trevor Lawrence today?
The strongest current line: Trevor Lawrence under 265.5 pass yds (−120): model 62.4% vs book 54.5%, an edge of +7.8%.
How has the model done on Trevor Lawrence's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Trevor Lawrence, 4 won and 1 lost.
Every Trevor Lawrence line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).