EdgeGoat
Tyler Shough
New Orleans Saints · #6 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Shough | Over 31.5 Pass AttATL @ NO | 68.1% | 55.6%−125 | +12.6% |
| Tyler Shough | Over 248.5 Pass YdsATL @ NO | 60.5% | 57.4%−135 | +3.0% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 54.5% | 48.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 passTDs | Sep 20 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 76.5% | 75.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 passInterceptions | Sep 20 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 68.7% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
| Under 21.5 passCompletions | Sep 13 · projected 19.8 | 19.8 | 72.7% | 53.5% | lost(22) |
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 27 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 54.5%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 0.5 passTDsSep 20 · projected 1.5won(1)
- Model
- 76.5%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Over 0.5 passInterceptionsSep 20 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 68.7%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 21.5 passCompletionsSep 13 · projected 19.8lost(22)
- Model
- 72.7%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Tyler Shough today?
The strongest current line: Tyler Shough over 31.5 pass att (−125): model 68.1% vs book 55.6%, an edge of +12.6%.
How has the model done on Tyler Shough's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Tyler Shough, 2 won and 2 lost.
Every Tyler Shough line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).