EdgeGoat
Woody Marks
Houston Texans · #4 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 73.5 recYards | Sep 27 · projected 18.1 | 18.1 | 99.8% | 99.5% | won(6) |
| Over 11.5 rushAttempts | Sep 27 · projected 14.4 | 14.4 | 55.5% | 35.1% | lost(5) |
| Over 44.5 rushYards | Sep 27 · projected 53.3 | 53.3 | 47.5% | 31.3% | lost(15) |
| Over 7.5 rushAttempts | Sep 20 · projected 9.2 | 9.2 | 54.9% | 54.5% | won(8) |
| Over 8.5 rushAttempts | Sep 13 · projected 11.1 | 11.1 | 56.5% | 42.6% | won(9) |
| Over 39.5 rushYards | Sep 13 · projected 50.8 | 50.8 | 49.9% | 33.3% | won(42) |
- Under 73.5 recYardsSep 27 · projected 18.1won(6)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 99.5%
- Over 11.5 rushAttemptsSep 27 · projected 14.4lost(5)
- Model
- 55.5%
- Book
- 35.1%
- Over 44.5 rushYardsSep 27 · projected 53.3lost(15)
- Model
- 47.5%
- Book
- 31.3%
- Over 7.5 rushAttemptsSep 20 · projected 9.2won(8)
- Model
- 54.9%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 8.5 rushAttemptsSep 13 · projected 11.1won(9)
- Model
- 56.5%
- Book
- 42.6%
- Over 39.5 rushYardsSep 13 · projected 50.8won(42)
- Model
- 49.9%
- Book
- 33.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Woody Marks's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on Woody Marks, 4 won and 2 lost.
Every Woody Marks line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).