EdgeGoat
Brock Nelson
Colorado Avalanche · #11 · 99 games logged
G · last 200.3
A · last 200.4
PTS · last 200.6
SOG · last 201.7
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | G | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ OTT | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nov 10 | @ TOR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nov 7 | vs DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Nov 5 | vs NSH | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Nov 3 | @ CBJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | @ CHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Oct 31 | vs CGY | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 28 | vs NJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 25 | @ NSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 23 | vs TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Oct 20 | @ NJ | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 19 | @ PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 16 | vs PIT | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 14 | vs DAL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 13 | @ DAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
| Oct 10 | vs TOR | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 8 | @ CGY | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 7 | @ WPG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Oct 3 | vs STL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 30 | vs LA | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 SOG | Nov 12 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 59.3% | 50.0% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 28 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 61.0% | 60.8% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 20 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 63.9% | 53.5% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 19 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 62.7% | 62.3% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 16 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 62.6% | 62.3% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 10 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 63.0% | 59.2% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 8 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 65.0% | 62.3% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 7 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 65.4% | 63.6% |
- Over 1.5 SOGNov 12 · projected 2.1
- Model
- 59.3%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 28 · projected 2.1
- Model
- 61.0%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 20 · projected 2.3
- Model
- 63.9%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 19 · projected 2.2
- Model
- 62.7%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 16 · projected 2.2
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 10 · projected 2.0
- Model
- 63.0%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 8 · projected 2.1
- Model
- 65.0%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 7 · projected 2.1
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 63.6%
Frequently asked questions
What is Brock Nelson averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Brock Nelson is averaging 0.3 g, 0.4 a, 0.6 pts, 1.7 sog.
How did Brock Nelson play in the last game?
On Thursday, November 12, 2026 at OTT, Brock Nelson recorded 0 g, 1 a, 1 pts, 1 sog.
Every Brock Nelson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).