EdgeGoat
John Carlson
Tampa Bay Lightning · #74 · 98 games logged
G · last 200.3
A · last 200.5
PTS · last 200.8
SOG · last 202.4
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | G | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ CBJ | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 11 | @ BUF | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Nov 8 | @ WPG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 7 | @ MIN | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 5 | vs CHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Nov 3 | vs DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 31 | @ NSH | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 29 | vs WPG | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 24 | @ UTA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 23 | @ COL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 20 | @ VGK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 17 | vs VAN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 15 | vs SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 13 | @ NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 10 | @ NYI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 8 | vs MIN | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 3 |
| Oct 5 | vs PHI | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 3 | vs WSH | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 1 | @ NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| May 14 | vs VGK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 SOG | Nov 12 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 61.3% | 57.4% |
| Over 0.5 PTS | Nov 12 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 55.1% | 48.8% |
| Under 0.5 A | Nov 7 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 71.0% | 63.0% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 29 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 66.1% | 64.9% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 24 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 64.9% | 60.8% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 23 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 65.5% | 62.3% |
| Over 0.5 PTS | Oct 23 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 51.0% | 46.5% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 20 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 65.4% | 40.8% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 17 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 64.4% | 63.6% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 10 · projected 2.4 | 2.4 | 68.8% | 65.5% |
| Under 2.5 SOG | Oct 8 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 68.4% | 66.1% |
| Over 1.5 SOG | Oct 5 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 65.4% | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 SOG | Oct 3 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 69.5% | 57.4% |
- Over 1.5 SOGNov 12 · projected 2.1
- Model
- 61.3%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 PTSNov 12 · projected 0.7
- Model
- 55.1%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 0.5 ANov 7 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 71.0%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 29 · projected 2.3
- Model
- 66.1%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 24 · projected 2.3
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 23 · projected 2.3
- Model
- 65.5%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 PTSOct 23 · projected 0.7
- Model
- 51.0%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 20 · projected 2.3
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 40.8%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 17 · projected 2.3
- Model
- 64.4%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 10 · projected 2.4
- Model
- 68.8%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 2.5 SOGOct 8 · projected 2.1
- Model
- 68.4%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 1.5 SOGOct 5 · projected 2.1
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 2.5 SOGOct 3 · projected 2.0
- Model
- 69.5%
- Book
- 57.4%
Frequently asked questions
What is John Carlson averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, John Carlson is averaging 0.3 g, 0.5 a, 0.8 pts, 2.4 sog.
How did John Carlson play in the last game?
On Thursday, November 12, 2026 at CBJ, John Carlson recorded 0 g, 1 a, 1 pts, 3 sog.
Every John Carlson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).