EdgeGoat
John Tavares
Toronto Maple Leafs · #91 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 John Tavares | Over 0.5 PNYI @ TOR | 57.5% | 53.5%−115 | +4.1% |
- Over 0.5 PNYI @ TOR+4.1%
- Model
- 57.5%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 P | Sep 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 57.7% | 55.6% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 PSep 29 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 57.7%
- Book
- 55.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about John Tavares today?
The strongest current line: John Tavares over 0.5 p (−115): model 57.5% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +4.1%.
How has the model done on John Tavares's props?
Across the last 1 graded model lines on John Tavares, 1 won and 0 lost.
Every John Tavares line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).