EdgeGoat
Mitch Marner
Vegas Golden Knights · #93 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 nhlPoints | Sep 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 66.1% | 65.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 nhlPoints | Jun 14 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 95.4% | 69.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 nhlPoints | Jun 11 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 90.2% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 nhlPoints | May 14 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 90.7% | 67.7% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 goals | May 14 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 88.5% | 72.2% | lost(1) |
- Over 0.5 nhlPointsSep 29 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 66.1%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 1.5 nhlPointsJun 14 · projected 0.9won(0)
- Model
- 95.4%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 nhlPointsJun 11 · projected 0.9won(0)
- Model
- 90.2%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 nhlPointsMay 14 · projected 0.9lost(2)
- Model
- 90.7%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 0.5 goalsMay 14 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 88.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Mitch Marner's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Mitch Marner, 2 won and 3 lost.
Every Mitch Marner line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).