EdgeGoat
Alyssa Thomas
Phoenix Mercury · #25 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 assists | Aug 25 · projected 5.5 | 5.5 | 70.5% | 56.5% | lost(8) |
| Under 8.5 rebounds | Aug 25 · projected 3.3 | 3.3 | 89.7% | 59.2% | won(6) |
| Under 0.5 threePointersMade | Aug 25 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 96.6% | 96.2% | won(0) |
| Under 14.5 points | Aug 25 · projected 9.7 | 9.7 | 80.4% | 56.5% | lost(16) |
| Under 7.5 rebounds | Jul 29 · projected 3.5 | 3.5 | 77.2% | 52.4% | lost(8) |
| Under 13.5 points | Jul 29 · projected 9.8 | 9.8 | 70.3% | 53.5% | lost(14) |
| Under 8.5 assists | Jul 29 · projected 5.5 | 5.5 | 81.0% | 48.8% | won(8) |
| Under 8.5 rebounds | May 15 · projected 3.6 | 3.6 | 91.6% | 53.5% | lost(9) |
| Under 16.5 points | May 15 · projected 13.6 | 13.6 | 73.2% | 52.4% | lost(17) |
| Under 9.5 assists | May 15 · projected 2.8 | 2.8 | 89.5% | 53.5% | won(6) |
- Under 7.5 assistsAug 25 · projected 5.5lost(8)
- Model
- 70.5%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 8.5 reboundsAug 25 · projected 3.3won(6)
- Model
- 89.7%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 0.5 threePointersMadeAug 25 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 96.6%
- Book
- 96.2%
- Under 14.5 pointsAug 25 · projected 9.7lost(16)
- Model
- 80.4%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 7.5 reboundsJul 29 · projected 3.5lost(8)
- Model
- 77.2%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 13.5 pointsJul 29 · projected 9.8lost(14)
- Model
- 70.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 8.5 assistsJul 29 · projected 5.5won(8)
- Model
- 81.0%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 8.5 reboundsMay 15 · projected 3.6lost(9)
- Model
- 91.6%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 16.5 pointsMay 15 · projected 13.6lost(17)
- Model
- 73.2%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 9.5 assistsMay 15 · projected 2.8won(6)
- Model
- 89.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Alyssa Thomas's props?
Across the last 10 graded model lines on Alyssa Thomas, 4 won and 6 lost.
Every Alyssa Thomas line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).