EdgeGoat
Angel Reese
Atlanta Dream · #5 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Angel Reese | Under 15.5 PTSATL @ WSH | 65.8% | 53.5%−115 | +12.3% |
| Angel Reese | Under 13.5 REBATL @ WSH | 68.9% | 58.3%−140 | +10.6% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 15.5 PTS | Sep 27 · projected 11.8 | 11.8 | 75.1% | 54.5% | won(13) |
| Under 13.5 REB | Sep 27 · projected 6.2 | 6.2 | 81.1% | 57.4% | won(12) |
| Under 15.5 PTS | Sep 23 · projected 10.5 | 10.5 | 79.5% | 54.5% | won(6) |
| Under 11.5 REB | Sep 23 · projected 5.9 | 5.9 | 64.7% | 57.4% | won(6) |
| Under 11.5 REB | Sep 21 · projected 5.9 | 5.9 | 64.7% | 51.2% | won(10) |
| Under 16.5 PTS | Sep 21 · projected 10.5 | 10.5 | 82.7% | 53.5% | lost(17) |
| Under 12.5 REB | Sep 17 · projected 5.4 | 5.4 | 80.9% | 53.5% | won(10) |
| Under 15.5 PTS | Sep 17 · projected 10.7 | 10.7 | 84.2% | 56.5% | lost(17) |
| Under 18.5 PTS | Aug 28 · projected 13.5 | 13.5 | 83.0% | 54.5% | won(16) |
| Under 3.5 assists | Aug 28 · projected 2.7 | 2.7 | 80.8% | 64.3% | lost(4) |
| Under 12.5 REB | Aug 28 · projected 6.8 | 6.8 | 64.9% | 52.4% | lost(13) |
| Under 0.5 threePointersMade | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.6% | 82.6% | lost(1) |
| Under 13.5 REB | Aug 20 · projected 6.5 | 6.5 | 77.1% | 56.5% | won(10) |
| Under 16.5 PTS | Aug 20 · projected 11.6 | 11.6 | 80.7% | 55.6% | lost(18) |
| Under 15.5 PTS | Jul 29 · projected 12.4 | 12.4 | 74.1% | 54.5% | lost(16) |
| Under 11.5 REB | Jul 29 · projected 6.5 | 6.5 | 56.6% | 51.2% | lost(12) |
- Under 15.5 PTSSep 27 · projected 11.8won(13)
- Model
- 75.1%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 13.5 REBSep 27 · projected 6.2won(12)
- Model
- 81.1%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 15.5 PTSSep 23 · projected 10.5won(6)
- Model
- 79.5%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 11.5 REBSep 23 · projected 5.9won(6)
- Model
- 64.7%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 11.5 REBSep 21 · projected 5.9won(10)
- Model
- 64.7%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 16.5 PTSSep 21 · projected 10.5lost(17)
- Model
- 82.7%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 12.5 REBSep 17 · projected 5.4won(10)
- Model
- 80.9%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 15.5 PTSSep 17 · projected 10.7lost(17)
- Model
- 84.2%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 18.5 PTSAug 28 · projected 13.5won(16)
- Model
- 83.0%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 3.5 assistsAug 28 · projected 2.7lost(4)
- Model
- 80.8%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 12.5 REBAug 28 · projected 6.8lost(13)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 0.5 threePointersMadeAug 20 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 88.6%
- Book
- 82.6%
- Under 13.5 REBAug 20 · projected 6.5won(10)
- Model
- 77.1%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 16.5 PTSAug 20 · projected 11.6lost(18)
- Model
- 80.7%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 15.5 PTSJul 29 · projected 12.4lost(16)
- Model
- 74.1%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 11.5 REBJul 29 · projected 6.5lost(12)
- Model
- 56.6%
- Book
- 51.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Angel Reese today?
The strongest current line: Angel Reese under 15.5 pts (−115): model 65.8% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +12.3%.
How has the model done on Angel Reese's props?
Across the last 16 graded model lines on Angel Reese, 8 won and 8 lost.
Every Angel Reese line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).