Caitlin Clark

Indiana Fever · #22 · 0 games logged

Model vs book today

Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.

Model probability vs book probability
Player	Line	Model	Book	Edge
Caitlin Clark	Under 22.5 PTSIND @ LV	69.8%	55.6%−125	+14.2%
Caitlin Clark	Under 2.5 3PMIND @ LV	60.5%	47.6%+110	+12.9%
Caitlin Clark	Under 8.5 ASTIND @ LV	59.2%	48.8%+105	+10.5%
Caitlin Clark	Under 4.5 REBIND @ LV	63.4%	56.5%−130	+6.8%

Caitlin Clark
Under 22.5 PTSIND @ LV
+14.2%
Model
69.8%
Book
55.6%−125
Caitlin Clark
Under 2.5 3PMIND @ LV
+12.9%
Model
60.5%
Book
47.6%+110
Caitlin Clark
Under 8.5 ASTIND @ LV
+10.5%
Model
59.2%
Book
48.8%+105
Caitlin Clark
Under 4.5 REBIND @ LV
+6.8%
Model
63.4%
Book
56.5%−130

Model % vs the break-even % of the Hard Rock price. How to read thisFull model board in the app →

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Under 23.5 PTS	Sep 29 · projected 14.7	14.7	85.2%	53.5%	lost(24)
Under 3.5 3PM	Sep 29 · projected 1.9	1.9	87.7%	58.3%	lost(4)
Under 9.5 AST	Sep 29 · projected 5.7	5.7	81.6%	60.0%	lost(10)
Under 4.5 REB	Sep 29 · projected 2.4	2.4	74.9%	58.3%	lost(5)
Under 8.5 AST	Aug 28 · projected 6.0	6.0	66.8%	48.8%	lost(9)
Under 23.5 PTS	Aug 28 · projected 15.6	15.6	85.0%	56.5%	lost(24)
Under 4.5 REB	Aug 28 · projected 2.2	2.2	79.3%	63.0%	lost(5)
Under 8.5 AST	Aug 20 · projected 5.4	5.4	82.3%	51.2%	lost(9)
Under 23.5 PTS	Aug 20 · projected 14.4	14.4	84.1%	53.5%	won(10)
Under 4.5 REB	Aug 20 · projected 2.2	2.2	78.9%	60.0%	won(4)
Under 21.5 PTS	Aug 6 · projected 16.8	16.8	78.4%	54.5%	won(20)
Under 3.5 REB	Aug 6 · projected 2.4	2.4	61.0%	51.2%	won(3)
Under 8.5 AST	Aug 6 · projected 6.2	6.2	79.6%	51.2%	won(8)
Under 2.5 3PM	May 15 · projected 1.3	1.3	86.5%	51.2%	lost(3)
Under 8.5 AST	May 15 · projected 2.2	2.2	83.8%	56.5%	won(8)
Under 19.5 PTS	May 15 · projected 15.8	15.8	75.6%	52.4%	lost(20)
Under 5.5 REB	May 15 · projected 2.9	2.9	80.3%	62.3%	won(4)

Under 23.5 PTS
Sep 29 · projected 14.7
lost(24)
Model
85.2%
Book
53.5%
Under 3.5 3PM
Sep 29 · projected 1.9
lost(4)
Model
87.7%
Book
58.3%
Under 9.5 AST
Sep 29 · projected 5.7
lost(10)
Model
81.6%
Book
60.0%
Under 4.5 REB
Sep 29 · projected 2.4
lost(5)
Model
74.9%
Book
58.3%
Under 8.5 AST
Aug 28 · projected 6.0
lost(9)
Model
66.8%
Book
48.8%
Under 23.5 PTS
Aug 28 · projected 15.6
lost(24)
Model
85.0%
Book
56.5%
Under 4.5 REB
Aug 28 · projected 2.2
lost(5)
Model
79.3%
Book
63.0%
Under 8.5 AST
Aug 20 · projected 5.4
lost(9)
Model
82.3%
Book
51.2%
Under 23.5 PTS
Aug 20 · projected 14.4
won(10)
Model
84.1%
Book
53.5%
Under 4.5 REB
Aug 20 · projected 2.2
won(4)
Model
78.9%
Book
60.0%
Under 21.5 PTS
Aug 6 · projected 16.8
won(20)
Model
78.4%
Book
54.5%
Under 3.5 REB
Aug 6 · projected 2.4
won(3)
Model
61.0%
Book
51.2%
Under 8.5 AST
Aug 6 · projected 6.2
won(8)
Model
79.6%
Book
51.2%
Under 2.5 3PM
May 15 · projected 1.3
lost(3)
Model
86.5%
Book
51.2%
Under 8.5 AST
May 15 · projected 2.2
won(8)
Model
83.8%
Book
56.5%
Under 19.5 PTS
May 15 · projected 15.8
lost(20)
Model
75.6%
Book
52.4%
Under 5.5 REB
May 15 · projected 2.9
won(4)
Model
80.3%
Book
62.3%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

What does the EdgeGoat model say about Caitlin Clark today?

The strongest current line: Caitlin Clark under 22.5 pts (−125): model 69.8% vs book 55.6%, an edge of +14.2%.

How has the model done on Caitlin Clark's props?

Across the last 17 graded model lines on Caitlin Clark, 7 won and 10 lost.

Every Caitlin Clark line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).