EdgeGoat
Chelsea Gray
Las Vegas Aces · #12 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea Gray | Under 12.5 PTSIND @ LV | 59.8% | 53.5%−115 | +6.3% |
- Under 12.5 PTSIND @ LV+6.3%
- Model
- 59.8%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 PTS | Sep 29 · projected 10.3 | 10.3 | 67.7% | 56.5% | won(10) |
| Under 6.5 assists | Sep 20 · projected 4.3 | 4.3 | 77.2% | 61.5% | won(4) |
| Under 10.5 PTS | Sep 20 · projected 8.4 | 8.4 | 64.7% | 52.4% | lost(13) |
| Under 6.5 assists | Sep 17 · projected 5.1 | 5.1 | 76.7% | 56.5% | won(6) |
| Under 11.5 PTS | Sep 17 · projected 8.2 | 8.2 | 73.9% | 53.5% | won(5) |
| Under 3.5 rebounds | Aug 20 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 70.1% | 64.3% | won(2) |
| Under 12.5 PTS | Aug 20 · projected 8.4 | 8.4 | 79.7% | 59.2% | won(6) |
| Under 6.5 assists | Aug 20 · projected 5.0 | 5.0 | 75.1% | 53.5% | won(4) |
| Under 6.5 assists | May 28 · projected 2.9 | 2.9 | 99.0% | 56.5% | lost(7) |
| Under 6.5 assists | May 15 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 82.2% | 60.8% | lost(7) |
- Under 12.5 PTSSep 29 · projected 10.3won(10)
- Model
- 67.7%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 6.5 assistsSep 20 · projected 4.3won(4)
- Model
- 77.2%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 10.5 PTSSep 20 · projected 8.4lost(13)
- Model
- 64.7%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 6.5 assistsSep 17 · projected 5.1won(6)
- Model
- 76.7%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 11.5 PTSSep 17 · projected 8.2won(5)
- Model
- 73.9%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 3.5 reboundsAug 20 · projected 2.2won(2)
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 12.5 PTSAug 20 · projected 8.4won(6)
- Model
- 79.7%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 6.5 assistsAug 20 · projected 5.0won(4)
- Model
- 75.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 6.5 assistsMay 28 · projected 2.9lost(7)
- Model
- 99.0%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 6.5 assistsMay 15 · projected 2.1lost(7)
- Model
- 82.2%
- Book
- 60.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Chelsea Gray today?
The strongest current line: Chelsea Gray under 12.5 pts (−115): model 59.8% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +6.3%.
How has the model done on Chelsea Gray's props?
Across the last 10 graded model lines on Chelsea Gray, 7 won and 3 lost.
Every Chelsea Gray line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).