EdgeGoat
Kayla Thornton
Golden State Valkyries · #5 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kayla Thornton | Under 5.5 REBGS @ DAL | 64.9% | 62.3%−165 | +2.6% |
- Under 5.5 REBGS @ DAL+2.6%
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 62.3%−165
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 4.5 REB | Sep 27 · projected 2.8 | 2.8 | 57.1% | 53.5% | lost(5) |
| Under 4.5 REB | Jul 29 · projected 3.1 | 3.1 | 52.9% | 50.0% | lost(5) |
| Under 9.5 points | Jul 29 · projected 7.6 | 7.6 | 73.3% | 56.5% | won(6) |
| Under 9.5 points | Jul 6 · projected 7.9 | 7.9 | 65.1% | 57.4% | won(2) |
| Under 4.5 REB | Jul 6 · projected 3.2 | 3.2 | 52.1% | 50.0% | won(0) |
- Under 4.5 REBSep 27 · projected 2.8lost(5)
- Model
- 57.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 4.5 REBJul 29 · projected 3.1lost(5)
- Model
- 52.9%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 9.5 pointsJul 29 · projected 7.6won(6)
- Model
- 73.3%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 9.5 pointsJul 6 · projected 7.9won(2)
- Model
- 65.1%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 4.5 REBJul 6 · projected 3.2won(0)
- Model
- 52.1%
- Book
- 50.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Kayla Thornton today?
The strongest current line: Kayla Thornton under 5.5 reb (−165): model 64.9% vs book 62.3%, an edge of +2.6%.
How has the model done on Kayla Thornton's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Kayla Thornton, 3 won and 2 lost.
Every Kayla Thornton line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).