EdgeGoat
Kelsey Mitchell
Indiana Fever · #0 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kelsey Mitchell | Under 24.5 PTSIND @ LV | 71.2% | 55.6%−125 | +15.6% |
| Kelsey Mitchell | Under 2.5 3PMIND @ LV | 59.2% | 46.5%+115 | +12.7% |
| Kelsey Mitchell | Under 2.5 ASTIND @ LV | 63.2% | 55.6%−125 | +7.6% |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 AST | Sep 29 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 71.8% | 44.4% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 rebounds | Sep 29 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 51.7% | 47.6% | won(1) |
| Under 3.5 3PM | Sep 29 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 86.8% | 62.3% | won(3) |
| Under 24.5 PTS | Sep 29 · projected 15.2 | 15.2 | 84.0% | 52.4% | lost(25) |
| Under 26.5 PTS | Aug 28 · projected 16.7 | 16.7 | 86.6% | 60.8% | lost(29) |
| Under 2.5 rebounds | Aug 28 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 77.2% | 64.3% | lost(3) |
| Under 3.5 3PM | Aug 28 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 88.7% | 64.9% | lost(4) |
| Under 2.5 AST | Aug 28 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 70.9% | 63.6% | lost(3) |
| Over 1.5 AST | Aug 20 · projected 2.5 | 2.5 | 70.1% | 65.5% | won(2) |
| Under 2.5 3PM | Aug 20 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 71.2% | 46.5% | lost(3) |
| Under 24.5 PTS | Aug 20 · projected 15.6 | 15.6 | 85.9% | 55.6% | lost(27) |
| Under 23.5 PTS | Aug 6 · projected 20.1 | 20.1 | 74.0% | 55.6% | lost(24) |
| Under 2.5 3PM | Aug 6 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 64.9% | 44.4% | won(2) |
| Under 3.5 AST | Jun 27 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 88.2% | 47.6% | won(2) |
| Under 22.5 PTS | Jun 27 · projected 16.4 | 16.4 | 78.4% | 55.6% | lost(23) |
| Under 2.5 3PM | Jun 27 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 100.0% | 57.4% | lost(3) |
| Under 2.5 3PM | May 15 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 84.5% | 54.5% | lost(3) |
| Under 21.5 PTS | May 15 · projected 17.3 | 17.3 | 80.1% | 54.5% | lost(24) |
- Under 2.5 ASTSep 29 · projected 1.8won(0)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 1.5 reboundsSep 29 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 51.7%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Under 3.5 3PMSep 29 · projected 1.9won(3)
- Model
- 86.8%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 24.5 PTSSep 29 · projected 15.2lost(25)
- Model
- 84.0%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 26.5 PTSAug 28 · projected 16.7lost(29)
- Model
- 86.6%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 2.5 reboundsAug 28 · projected 1.0lost(3)
- Model
- 77.2%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 3.5 3PMAug 28 · projected 1.8lost(4)
- Model
- 88.7%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 2.5 ASTAug 28 · projected 2.0lost(3)
- Model
- 70.9%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 1.5 ASTAug 20 · projected 2.5won(2)
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 2.5 3PMAug 20 · projected 1.9lost(3)
- Model
- 71.2%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Under 24.5 PTSAug 20 · projected 15.6lost(27)
- Model
- 85.9%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 23.5 PTSAug 6 · projected 20.1lost(24)
- Model
- 74.0%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 2.5 3PMAug 6 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 3.5 ASTJun 27 · projected 2.3won(2)
- Model
- 88.2%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Under 22.5 PTSJun 27 · projected 16.4lost(23)
- Model
- 78.4%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 2.5 3PMJun 27 · projected 1.9lost(3)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 2.5 3PMMay 15 · projected 1.4lost(3)
- Model
- 84.5%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 21.5 PTSMay 15 · projected 17.3lost(24)
- Model
- 80.1%
- Book
- 54.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Kelsey Mitchell today?
The strongest current line: Kelsey Mitchell under 24.5 pts (−125): model 71.2% vs book 55.6%, an edge of +15.6%.
How has the model done on Kelsey Mitchell's props?
Across the last 18 graded model lines on Kelsey Mitchell, 6 won and 12 lost.
Every Kelsey Mitchell line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).