EdgeGoat
Kelsey Plum
Phoenix Mercury · #0 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 points | Aug 25 · projected 17.1 | 17.1 | 58.0% | 51.2% | lost(10) |
| Over 3.5 assists | Aug 25 · projected 4.3 | 4.3 | 69.8% | 48.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 threePointersMade | Aug 25 · projected 2.5 | 2.5 | 71.8% | 67.7% | lost(1) |
| Under 5.5 assists | May 15 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 80.8% | 57.4% | lost(6) |
| Under 2.5 threePointersMade | May 15 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 71.0% | 64.3% | lost(3) |
| Over 2.5 rebounds | May 15 · projected 3.3 | 3.3 | 69.5% | 64.9% | lost(0) |
- Over 14.5 pointsAug 25 · projected 17.1lost(10)
- Model
- 58.0%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 3.5 assistsAug 25 · projected 4.3lost(1)
- Model
- 69.8%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 1.5 threePointersMadeAug 25 · projected 2.5lost(1)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 5.5 assistsMay 15 · projected 1.5lost(6)
- Model
- 80.8%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 2.5 threePointersMadeMay 15 · projected 1.9lost(3)
- Model
- 71.0%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 2.5 reboundsMay 15 · projected 3.3lost(0)
- Model
- 69.5%
- Book
- 64.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Kelsey Plum's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on Kelsey Plum, 0 won and 6 lost.
Every Kelsey Plum line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).