EdgeGoat
Napheesa Collier
Minnesota Lynx · #24 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 assists | Sep 29 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 70.4% | 51.2% | won(1) |
| Under 19.5 points | Sep 29 · projected 10.7 | 10.7 | 88.9% | 55.6% | won(14) |
| Under 7.5 rebounds | Sep 29 · projected 3.0 | 3.0 | 87.2% | 57.4% | won(7) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | Sep 29 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 71.4% | 60.8% | won(0) |
| Under 7.5 rebounds | Sep 20 · projected 3.2 | 3.2 | 84.2% | 59.2% | won(6) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | Sep 20 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 74.9% | 56.5% | won(0) |
| Under 17.5 points | Sep 20 · projected 12.0 | 12.0 | 80.7% | 53.5% | lost(18) |
- Under 2.5 assistsSep 29 · projected 1.5won(1)
- Model
- 70.4%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 19.5 pointsSep 29 · projected 10.7won(14)
- Model
- 88.9%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 7.5 reboundsSep 29 · projected 3.0won(7)
- Model
- 87.2%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeSep 29 · projected 1.1won(0)
- Model
- 71.4%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 7.5 reboundsSep 20 · projected 3.2won(6)
- Model
- 84.2%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeSep 20 · projected 1.0won(0)
- Model
- 74.9%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 17.5 pointsSep 20 · projected 12.0lost(18)
- Model
- 80.7%
- Book
- 53.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Napheesa Collier's props?
Across the last 7 graded model lines on Napheesa Collier, 6 won and 1 lost.
Every Napheesa Collier line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).