EdgeGoat
Naz Hillmon
Atlanta Dream · #00 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Naz Hillmon | Over 5.5 PTSATL @ WSH | 56.7% | 50.0%+100 | +6.7% |
- Over 5.5 PTSATL @ WSH+6.7%
- Model
- 56.7%
- Book
- 50.0%+100
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 rebounds | Sep 27 · projected 2.7 | 2.7 | 57.0% | 48.8% | won(3) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | Sep 27 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 74.1% | 69.2% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | Sep 23 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 77.4% | 69.7% | lost(2) |
| Under 8.5 PTS | Sep 17 · projected 6.8 | 6.8 | 65.6% | 55.6% | lost(9) |
| Under 9.5 PTS | Aug 28 · projected 8.0 | 8.0 | 65.1% | 59.2% | lost(10) |
| Under 4.5 rebounds | Aug 28 · projected 2.9 | 2.9 | 66.9% | 51.2% | lost(5) |
| Under 1.5 threePointersMade | Aug 28 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 77.1% | 64.9% | lost(2) |
| Over 9.5 PTS | Jul 29 · projected 11.6 | 11.6 | 50.2% | 44.4% | lost(2) |
| Under 4.5 rebounds | Jul 29 · projected 3.0 | 3.0 | 62.7% | 56.5% | won(3) |
- Under 3.5 reboundsSep 27 · projected 2.7won(3)
- Model
- 57.0%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeSep 27 · projected 1.0won(0)
- Model
- 74.1%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeSep 23 · projected 0.9lost(2)
- Model
- 77.4%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 8.5 PTSSep 17 · projected 6.8lost(9)
- Model
- 65.6%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 9.5 PTSAug 28 · projected 8.0lost(10)
- Model
- 65.1%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 4.5 reboundsAug 28 · projected 2.9lost(5)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 1.5 threePointersMadeAug 28 · projected 0.9lost(2)
- Model
- 77.1%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 9.5 PTSJul 29 · projected 11.6lost(2)
- Model
- 50.2%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 4.5 reboundsJul 29 · projected 3.0won(3)
- Model
- 62.7%
- Book
- 56.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Naz Hillmon today?
The strongest current line: Naz Hillmon over 5.5 pts (+100): model 56.7% vs book 50.0%, an edge of +6.7%.
How has the model done on Naz Hillmon's props?
Across the last 9 graded model lines on Naz Hillmon, 3 won and 6 lost.
Every Naz Hillmon line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).