Paige Bueckers

Dallas Wings · #5 · 0 games logged

Model vs book today

Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.

Model probability vs book probability
Player	Line	Model	Book	Edge
Paige Bueckers	Over 1.5 3PMGS @ DAL	59.7%	52.4%−110	+7.3%
Paige Bueckers	Over 4.5 ASTGS @ DAL	67.5%	61.5%−160	+5.9%

Paige Bueckers
Over 1.5 3PMGS @ DAL
+7.3%
Model
59.7%
Book
52.4%−110
Paige Bueckers
Over 4.5 ASTGS @ DAL
+5.9%
Model
67.5%
Book
61.5%−160

Model % vs the break-even % of the Hard Rock price. How to read thisFull model board in the app →

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Under 20.5 points	Sep 27 · projected 18.3	18.3	71.5%	55.6%	lost(21)
Over 1.5 3PM	Sep 27 · projected 2.2	2.2	63.6%	48.8%	won(2)
Under 3.5 rebounds	Sep 27 · projected 2.7	2.7	54.2%	51.2%	lost(4)
Under 6.5 AST	Sep 17 · projected 3.6	3.6	77.4%	60.0%	won(3)
Under 3.5 rebounds	Sep 17 · projected 1.8	1.8	61.8%	48.8%	lost(6)
Under 21.5 points	Sep 17 · projected 12.1	12.1	91.1%	54.5%	won(19)
Under 6.5 AST	Aug 25 · projected 3.9	3.9	75.5%	59.2%	lost(7)
Under 21.5 points	Aug 25 · projected 13.3	13.3	85.5%	54.5%	lost(22)
Under 3.5 rebounds	Aug 25 · projected 1.9	1.9	59.8%	48.8%	lost(4)
Under 20.5 points	Aug 20 · projected 12.4	12.4	87.7%	48.8%	won(13)
Under 3.5 rebounds	Aug 20 · projected 1.8	1.8	60.4%	50.0%	lost(4)
Under 5.5 AST	Aug 20 · projected 3.7	3.7	65.7%	50.0%	lost(6)
Under 5.5 AST	Jul 29 · projected 3.8	3.8	66.7%	47.6%	lost(6)
Over 0.5 3PM	Jul 29 · projected 1.7	1.7	80.9%	80.0%	won(1)
Under 20.5 points	Jul 29 · projected 12.9	12.9	84.0%	55.6%	won(16)
Under 4.5 rebounds	Jul 29 · projected 2.0	2.0	80.2%	64.3%	won(4)
Under 4.5 AST	May 28 · projected 2.3	2.3	53.3%	46.5%	lost(5)
Under 19.5 points	May 28 · projected 17.0	17.0	64.6%	53.5%	lost(20)

Under 20.5 points
Sep 27 · projected 18.3
lost(21)
Model
71.5%
Book
55.6%
Over 1.5 3PM
Sep 27 · projected 2.2
won(2)
Model
63.6%
Book
48.8%
Under 3.5 rebounds
Sep 27 · projected 2.7
lost(4)
Model
54.2%
Book
51.2%
Under 6.5 AST
Sep 17 · projected 3.6
won(3)
Model
77.4%
Book
60.0%
Under 3.5 rebounds
Sep 17 · projected 1.8
lost(6)
Model
61.8%
Book
48.8%
Under 21.5 points
Sep 17 · projected 12.1
won(19)
Model
91.1%
Book
54.5%
Under 6.5 AST
Aug 25 · projected 3.9
lost(7)
Model
75.5%
Book
59.2%
Under 21.5 points
Aug 25 · projected 13.3
lost(22)
Model
85.5%
Book
54.5%
Under 3.5 rebounds
Aug 25 · projected 1.9
lost(4)
Model
59.8%
Book
48.8%
Under 20.5 points
Aug 20 · projected 12.4
won(13)
Model
87.7%
Book
48.8%
Under 3.5 rebounds
Aug 20 · projected 1.8
lost(4)
Model
60.4%
Book
50.0%
Under 5.5 AST
Aug 20 · projected 3.7
lost(6)
Model
65.7%
Book
50.0%
Under 5.5 AST
Jul 29 · projected 3.8
lost(6)
Model
66.7%
Book
47.6%
Over 0.5 3PM
Jul 29 · projected 1.7
won(1)
Model
80.9%
Book
80.0%
Under 20.5 points
Jul 29 · projected 12.9
won(16)
Model
84.0%
Book
55.6%
Under 4.5 rebounds
Jul 29 · projected 2.0
won(4)
Model
80.2%
Book
64.3%
Under 4.5 AST
May 28 · projected 2.3
lost(5)
Model
53.3%
Book
46.5%
Under 19.5 points
May 28 · projected 17.0
lost(20)
Model
64.6%
Book
53.5%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

What does the EdgeGoat model say about Paige Bueckers today?

The strongest current line: Paige Bueckers over 1.5 3pm (−110): model 59.7% vs book 52.4%, an edge of +7.3%.

How has the model done on Paige Bueckers's props?

Across the last 18 graded model lines on Paige Bueckers, 7 won and 11 lost.

Every Paige Bueckers line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).