Sonia Citron

Washington Mystics · #22 · 0 games logged

Model vs book today

Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.

Model probability vs book probability
Player	Line	Model	Book	Edge
Sonia Citron	Under 4.5 ASTATL @ WSH	73.6%	58.3%−140	+15.2%
Sonia Citron	Under 15.5 PTSATL @ WSH	65.1%	53.5%−115	+11.6%
Sonia Citron	Under 3.5 REBATL @ WSH	68.1%	59.2%−145	+8.9%

Sonia Citron
Under 4.5 ASTATL @ WSH
+15.2%
Model
73.6%
Book
58.3%−140
Sonia Citron
Under 15.5 PTSATL @ WSH
+11.6%
Model
65.1%
Book
53.5%−115
Sonia Citron
Under 3.5 REBATL @ WSH
+8.9%
Model
68.1%
Book
59.2%−145

Model % vs the break-even % of the Hard Rock price. How to read thisFull model board in the app →

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Under 3.5 REB	Sep 27 · projected 1.7	1.7	74.0%	60.0%	lost(4)
Under 4.5 AST	Sep 27 · projected 2.3	2.3	86.3%	56.5%	won(3)
Under 15.5 PTS	Sep 27 · projected 9.5	9.5	72.9%	55.6%	lost(17)
Under 3.5 REB	Sep 17 · projected 1.8	1.8	72.8%	51.2%	void(0)
Under 16.5 PTS	Sep 17 · projected 10.7	10.7	77.7%	53.5%	void(0)
Under 4.5 AST	Sep 17 · projected 2.4	2.4	86.1%	48.8%	void(0)
Under 1.5 threePointersMade	Sep 17 · projected 1.2	1.2	66.5%	60.0%	void(0)
Under 4.5 AST	Aug 25 · projected 2.6	2.6	86.5%	48.8%	lost(5)
Under 1.5 threePointersMade	Aug 25 · projected 1.2	1.2	67.5%	52.4%	lost(2)
Under 4.5 REB	Aug 25 · projected 1.9	1.9	79.3%	63.0%	won(1)
Under 16.5 PTS	Aug 25 · projected 11.1	11.1	77.7%	56.5%	lost(18)
Under 15.5 PTS	Jul 6 · projected 11.9	11.9	65.6%	54.5%	void(0)

Under 3.5 REB
Sep 27 · projected 1.7
lost(4)
Model
74.0%
Book
60.0%
Under 4.5 AST
Sep 27 · projected 2.3
won(3)
Model
86.3%
Book
56.5%
Under 15.5 PTS
Sep 27 · projected 9.5
lost(17)
Model
72.9%
Book
55.6%
Under 3.5 REB
Sep 17 · projected 1.8
void(0)
Model
72.8%
Book
51.2%
Under 16.5 PTS
Sep 17 · projected 10.7
void(0)
Model
77.7%
Book
53.5%
Under 4.5 AST
Sep 17 · projected 2.4
void(0)
Model
86.1%
Book
48.8%
Under 1.5 threePointersMade
Sep 17 · projected 1.2
void(0)
Model
66.5%
Book
60.0%
Under 4.5 AST
Aug 25 · projected 2.6
lost(5)
Model
86.5%
Book
48.8%
Under 1.5 threePointersMade
Aug 25 · projected 1.2
lost(2)
Model
67.5%
Book
52.4%
Under 4.5 REB
Aug 25 · projected 1.9
won(1)
Model
79.3%
Book
63.0%
Under 16.5 PTS
Aug 25 · projected 11.1
lost(18)
Model
77.7%
Book
56.5%
Under 15.5 PTS
Jul 6 · projected 11.9
void(0)
Model
65.6%
Book
54.5%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

What does the EdgeGoat model say about Sonia Citron today?

The strongest current line: Sonia Citron under 4.5 ast (−140): model 73.6% vs book 58.3%, an edge of +15.2%.

How has the model done on Sonia Citron's props?

Across the last 7 graded model lines on Sonia Citron, 2 won and 5 lost.

Every Sonia Citron line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).