EdgeGoatFinal
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego PadresRecap · MLB · Tuesday, October 6, 2026
Petco Park, San Diego
What the model priced before the start
The model's lines frozen before the start: its probability next to the break-even rate of the price it was offered.
| Line | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta O 10.5 Outs Recorded | 85.8% | 51.2%−105 |
| Nick Pivetta O 4.5 Pitcher K's | 64.4% | 43.5%+130 |
| Dustin May O 0.5 Pitcher BB | 83.1% | 64.9%−185 |
| Dustin May O 1.5 Earned Runs | 61.5% | 44.4%+125 |
| Nick Pivetta O 3.5 Hits Allowed | 57.9% | 42.6%+135 |
| Ethan Salas O 0.5 H+R+RBI | 75.8% | 60.8%−155 |
| Dustin May O 8.5 Outs Recorded | 74.7% | 60.8%−155 |
| Dustin May O 2.5 Pitcher K's | 73.6% | 60.8%−155 |
| Nick Pivetta O 1.5 Earned Runs | 58.7% | 47.6%+110 |
| Jake Bauers O 1.5 H+R+RBI | 56.5% | 45.5%+120 |
| Nick Pivetta O 0.5 Pitcher BB | 81.8% | 71.4%−250 |
| Garrett Mitchell O 0.5 H+R+RBI | 74.5% | 64.3%−180 |
- Model
- 85.8%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Model
- 64.4%
- Book
- 43.5%+130
- Model
- 83.1%
- Book
- 64.9%−185
- Model
- 61.5%
- Book
- 44.4%+125
- Model
- 57.9%
- Book
- 42.6%+135
- Model
- 75.8%
- Book
- 60.8%−155
- Model
- 74.7%
- Book
- 60.8%−155
- Model
- 73.6%
- Book
- 60.8%−155
- Model
- 58.7%
- Book
- 47.6%+110
- Model
- 56.5%
- Book
- 45.5%+120
- Model
- 81.8%
- Book
- 71.4%−250
- Model
- 74.5%
- Book
- 64.3%−180
Frequently asked questions
When does Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres start?
Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres (MLB) started at 9:30 PM ET on Tuesday, October 6, 2026 at Petco Park, San Diego.
What was the final score of Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres?
San Diego Padres won 4–3.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).