EdgeGoatBoston Celtics at Charlotte HornetsPreview · NBA · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 7:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center, Charlotte
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHA ML | 47.7% | 22.2%+350 | +25.4 pts |
| BOS ML | 52.3% | 81.8%−450 | −29.5 pts |
| CHA +9.5 | 76.7% | 51.2%−105 | +25.5 pts |
| BOS -9.5 | 23.3% | 53.5%−115 | −30.2 pts |
| Over 207.5 | 65.7% | 53.5%−115 | +12.2 pts |
| Under 207.5 | 34.3% | 51.2%−105 | −16.9 pts |
- CHA ML+25.4 pts
- Model
- 47.7%
- Book
- 22.2%+350
- BOS ML−29.5 pts
- Model
- 52.3%
- Book
- 81.8%−450
- CHA +9.5+25.5 pts
- Model
- 76.7%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- BOS -9.5−30.2 pts
- Model
- 23.3%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Over 207.5+12.2 pts
- Model
- 65.7%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
- Under 207.5−16.9 pts
- Model
- 34.3%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Top prop edges
Showing 1 of 18 priced edges.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 PTS | 77.4% | 54.5%−120 | +22.9 pts |
- Under 27.5 PTS+22.9 pts
- Model
- 77.4%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
Players on the board
Frequently asked questions
When does Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets start?
Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets (NBA) starts at 7:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026 at Spectrum Center, Charlotte.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets?
The model projects about 212.9 combined points.
Who does the model favor in Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets?
The model favors Boston Celtics by about 0.7 points.
How many model edges are there for Boston Celtics at Charlotte Hornets?
The model currently finds 18 lines priced below its own probability. The largest: Jayson Tatum under 27.5 pts (−120): model 77.4% vs book 54.5%, an edge of +22.9 pts. Edges are statements about prices, not guarantees about results.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).