Jayson Tatum

Boston Celtics · #0 · 29 games logged

MIN · last 2035.7

PTS · last 2025.3

REB · last 209.2

AST · last 207.4

Model vs book today

Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.

Model probability vs book probability
Player	Line	Model	Book	Edge
Jayson Tatum	Under 27.5 PTSBOS @ CHA	77.4%	54.5%−120	+22.9 pts

Jayson Tatum
Under 27.5 PTSBOS @ CHA
+22.9 pts
Model
77.4%
Book
54.5%−120

Model % vs the break-even % of the Hard Rock price. How to read thisFull model board in the app →

Recent game log

Date	Opp	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	STL	BLK
Nov 2	@ HOU	32	19	6	9	1	1	0
Nov 1	@ ORL	34	32	4	7	1	0	2
Oct 30	vs CHI	35	26	7	7	2	0	0
Oct 27	vs BKN	42	40	5	8	2	0	1
Oct 26	vs CHI	28	23	7	6	2	1	0
Oct 23	vs NY	37	36	9	7	3	3	0
Oct 20	@ DET	38	13	4	11	0	0	0
Apr 30	@ PHI	29	17	11	3	2	0	0
Apr 28	vs PHI	41	24	16	4	4	3	0
Apr 26	@ PHI	35	30	7	11	5	0	0
Apr 24	@ PHI	42	25	5	7	5	1	0
Apr 21	vs PHI	39	19	14	9	2	1	0
Apr 19	vs PHI	32	25	11	7	1	2	0
Apr 9	@ NY	40	24	13	8	2	1	1
Apr 7	vs CHA	39	23	5	4	3	1	0
Apr 5	vs TOR	34	23	13	7	2	3	0
Apr 3	@ MIL	31	23	11	9	4	3	0
Apr 1	@ MIA	37	25	18	11	4	2	0
Mar 29	@ CHA	31	32	5	8	5	0	1
Mar 27	vs ATL	37	26	12	5	2	0	0

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book
Under 1.5 STL	Nov 2 · projected 1.0	1.0	72.4%	70.6%
Over 4.5 REB	Nov 2 · projected 8.1	8.1	87.9%	84.6%
Under 27.5 PTS	Nov 2 · projected 25.4	25.4	70.4%	55.6%
Over 1.5 3PM	Nov 1 · projected 2.9	2.9	76.7%	76.5%
Under 27.5 PTS	Nov 1 · projected 23.0	23.0	73.2%	54.5%
Over 8.5 REB	Oct 30 · projected 9.8	9.8	67.0%	50.0%
Over 0.5 STL	Oct 27 · projected 1.4	1.4	73.0%	69.2%
Under 6.5 AST	Oct 27 · projected 5.8	5.8	68.2%	54.5%
Over 8.5 REB	Oct 27 · projected 10.2	10.2	66.0%	50.0%
Under 3.5 3PM	Oct 26 · projected 2.6	2.6	72.0%	58.3%
Under 0.5 BLK	Oct 26 · projected 0.2	0.2	83.5%	71.4%
Over 8.5 REB	Oct 26 · projected 10.3	10.3	68.4%	56.5%
Under 27.5 PTS	Oct 26 · projected 24.0	24.0	68.8%	52.4%
Under 3.5 3PM	Oct 23 · projected 2.5	2.5	74.8%	63.0%
Under 0.5 BLK	Oct 23 · projected 0.2	0.2	87.2%	76.5%
Under 6.5 AST	Oct 23 · projected 4.7	4.7	72.2%	54.5%
Over 7.5 REB	Oct 23 · projected 9.3	9.3	64.4%	64.3%
Under 26.5 PTS	Oct 23 · projected 19.7	19.7	87.2%	53.5%
Under 0.5 BLK	Oct 20 · projected 0.2	0.2	88.0%	66.7%
Under 1.5 STL	Oct 20 · projected 0.9	0.9	71.3%	62.3%

Under 1.5 STL
Nov 2 · projected 1.0
Model
72.4%
Book
70.6%
Over 4.5 REB
Nov 2 · projected 8.1
Model
87.9%
Book
84.6%
Under 27.5 PTS
Nov 2 · projected 25.4
Model
70.4%
Book
55.6%
Over 1.5 3PM
Nov 1 · projected 2.9
Model
76.7%
Book
76.5%
Under 27.5 PTS
Nov 1 · projected 23.0
Model
73.2%
Book
54.5%
Over 8.5 REB
Oct 30 · projected 9.8
Model
67.0%
Book
50.0%
Over 0.5 STL
Oct 27 · projected 1.4
Model
73.0%
Book
69.2%
Under 6.5 AST
Oct 27 · projected 5.8
Model
68.2%
Book
54.5%
Over 8.5 REB
Oct 27 · projected 10.2
Model
66.0%
Book
50.0%
Under 3.5 3PM
Oct 26 · projected 2.6
Model
72.0%
Book
58.3%
Under 0.5 BLK
Oct 26 · projected 0.2
Model
83.5%
Book
71.4%
Over 8.5 REB
Oct 26 · projected 10.3
Model
68.4%
Book
56.5%
Under 27.5 PTS
Oct 26 · projected 24.0
Model
68.8%
Book
52.4%
Under 3.5 3PM
Oct 23 · projected 2.5
Model
74.8%
Book
63.0%
Under 0.5 BLK
Oct 23 · projected 0.2
Model
87.2%
Book
76.5%
Under 6.5 AST
Oct 23 · projected 4.7
Model
72.2%
Book
54.5%
Over 7.5 REB
Oct 23 · projected 9.3
Model
64.4%
Book
64.3%
Under 26.5 PTS
Oct 23 · projected 19.7
Model
87.2%
Book
53.5%
Under 0.5 BLK
Oct 20 · projected 0.2
Model
88.0%
Book
66.7%
Under 1.5 STL
Oct 20 · projected 0.9
Model
71.3%
Book
62.3%

Frequently asked questions

What is Jayson Tatum averaging over the last 20 games?

Across the last 20 logged games, Jayson Tatum is averaging 35.7 min, 25.3 pts, 9.2 reb, 7.4 ast.

How did Jayson Tatum play in the last game?

On Monday, November 2, 2026 at HOU, Jayson Tatum recorded 32 min, 19 pts, 6 reb, 9 ast.

What does the EdgeGoat model say about Jayson Tatum today?

The strongest current line: Jayson Tatum under 27.5 pts (−120): model 77.4% vs book 54.5%, an edge of +22.9 pts.

Every Jayson Tatum line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).