EdgeGoatSan Antonio Spurs at Sacramento KingsPreview · NBA · Friday, November 6, 2026 · 10:00 PM ET
Golden 1 Center, Sacramento
Win probability · model vs book moneyline
83.2%94.1%−10.9 pts
Model83.2%Book−160094.1%Edge−10.9 pts
16.8%10.5%+6.3 pts
Model16.8%Book+85010.5%Edge+6.3 pts
SpreadModel: SA by 12.4
SAC +17.5
Model65.4%Book52.4%−110+13.1 pts
TotalModel: 234.4 points
Over 231.5
Model58.1%Book52.4%−110+5.7 pts
Game lines
Every side the book prices (spread and total in points); model probability against the break-even rate of each price.
| Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC ML | 16.8% | 10.5%+850 | +6.3 pts |
| SA ML | 83.2% | 94.1%−1600 | −10.9 pts |
| SAC +17.5 | 65.4% | 52.4%−110 | +13.1 pts |
| SA -17.5 | 34.6% | 52.4%−110 | −17.8 pts |
| Over 231.5 | 58.1% | 52.4%−110 | +5.7 pts |
| Under 231.5 | 41.9% | 52.4%−110 | −10.5 pts |
- SAC ML+6.3 pts
- Model
- 16.8%
- Book
- 10.5%+850
- SA ML−10.9 pts
- Model
- 83.2%
- Book
- 94.1%−1600
- SAC +17.5+13.1 pts
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- SA -17.5−17.8 pts
- Model
- 34.6%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Over 231.5+5.7 pts
- Model
- 58.1%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
- Under 231.5−10.5 pts
- Model
- 41.9%
- Book
- 52.4%−110
Players on the board
Frequently asked questions
When does San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings start?
San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings (NBA) starts at 10:00 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026 at Golden 1 Center, Sacramento.
What total does the EdgeGoat model project for San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings?
The model projects about 234.4 combined points.
Who does the model favor in San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings?
The model favors San Antonio Spurs by about 12.4 points.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).