EdgeGoat
Jaden McDaniels
Minnesota Timberwolves · #3 · 97 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 27.5 PTS+REB+ASTCHI @ MIN | 69.6% | 54.5%−120 | +15.1 pts |
- Under 27.5 PTS+REB+ASTCHI @ MIN+15.1 pts
- Model
- 69.6%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | vs DAL | 25 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTAH | 33 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Nov 6 | @ NO | 40 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Nov 4 | @ HOU | 37 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | vs MIL | 29 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 31 | @ SA | 39 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 30 | vs LAC | 33 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 28 | vs GS | 35 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 26 | @ CLE | 37 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 25 | vs TOR | 31 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Oct 23 | @ ORL | 30 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Oct 21 | @ MIA | 29 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| May 15 | vs SA | 23 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| May 12 | @ SA | 30 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| May 10 | vs SA | 41 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 8 | vs SA | 40 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| May 6 | @ SA | 20 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| May 4 | @ SA | 36 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Apr 30 | vs DEN | 45 | 32 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Apr 27 | @ DEN | 27 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 BLK | Nov 8 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 60.0% | 59.2% |
| Over 0.5 STL | Nov 8 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.0% | 65.5% |
| Over 14.5 PTS | Nov 8 · projected 17.9 | 17.9 | 69.3% | 67.7% |
| Under 1.5 STL | Nov 2 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 69.3% | 69.2% |
| Under 18.5 PTS | Nov 2 · projected 16.0 | 16.0 | 72.5% | 55.6% |
| Under 17.5 PTS | Oct 30 · projected 14.7 | 14.7 | 70.1% | 53.5% |
| Under 1.5 STL | Oct 28 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 69.2% | 67.7% |
| Over 10.5 PTS | Oct 25 · projected 14.6 | 14.6 | 72.4% | 71.4% |
| Under 5.5 REB | Oct 23 · projected 4.1 | 4.1 | 71.4% | 60.0% |
| Over 1.5 AST | Oct 21 · projected 2.8 | 2.8 | 70.7% | 69.2% |
| Under 4.5 REB | Oct 21 · projected 3.8 | 3.8 | 61.4% | 46.5% |
- Over 0.5 BLKNov 8 · projected 1.0
- Model
- 60.0%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 STLNov 8 · projected 1.1
- Model
- 66.0%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 14.5 PTSNov 8 · projected 17.9
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 STLNov 2 · projected 1.1
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 18.5 PTSNov 2 · projected 16.0
- Model
- 72.5%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 17.5 PTSOct 30 · projected 14.7
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 STLOct 28 · projected 1.1
- Model
- 69.2%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 10.5 PTSOct 25 · projected 14.6
- Model
- 72.4%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 5.5 REBOct 23 · projected 4.1
- Model
- 71.4%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 1.5 ASTOct 21 · projected 2.8
- Model
- 70.7%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 4.5 REBOct 21 · projected 3.8
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 46.5%
Frequently asked questions
What is Jaden McDaniels averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Jaden McDaniels is averaging 33 min, 16.9 pts, 5.9 reb, 3 ast.
How did Jaden McDaniels play in the last game?
On Thursday, November 12, 2026 vs DAL, Jaden McDaniels recorded 25 min, 16 pts, 9 reb, 3 ast.
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Jaden McDaniels today?
The strongest current line: Jaden McDaniels under 27.5 pts+reb+ast (−120): model 69.6% vs book 54.5%, an edge of +15.1 pts.
Every Jaden McDaniels line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).