EdgeGoat
Jamal Shead
Toronto Raptors · #23 · 97 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 11.5 PTSTOR @ MIL | 72.5% | 54.5%−120 | +18.0 pts |
- Under 11.5 PTSTOR @ MIL+18.0 pts
- Model
- 72.5%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ DEN | 20 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 2 | @ LAC | 20 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Nov 1 | @ LAL | 25 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Oct 30 | vs ORL | 23 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 28 | vs ORL | 23 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Oct 25 | @ MIN | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 23 | @ WSH | 24 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 21 | vs CHI | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| May 3 | @ CLE | 36 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| May 1 | vs CLE | 33 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Apr 29 | @ CLE | 34 | 18 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| Apr 26 | vs CLE | 26 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 23 | vs CLE | 30 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| Apr 20 | @ CLE | 38 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Apr 18 | @ CLE | 28 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 12 | vs BKN | 20 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Apr 10 | @ NY | 27 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9 | vs MIA | 22 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7 | vs MIA | 24 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 5 | @ BOS | 26 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 11.5 PTS | Nov 6 · projected 9.8 | 9.8 | 72.5% | 54.5% |
| Over 0.5 3PM | Nov 2 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 68.7% | 61.5% |
| Under 1.5 STL | Nov 2 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 70.7% | 68.8% |
| Over 4.5 AST | Nov 2 · projected 5.3 | 5.3 | 59.8% | 57.4% |
| Over 4.5 PTS | Nov 2 · projected 7.3 | 7.3 | 74.9% | 72.2% |
| Over 3.5 PTS | Nov 1 · projected 7.7 | 7.7 | 81.4% | 76.5% |
| Over 0.5 3PM | Oct 30 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.5% | 63.0% |
| Over 4.5 AST | Oct 30 · projected 5.6 | 5.6 | 59.4% | 56.5% |
| Over 0.5 3PM | Oct 28 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 65.6% | 64.3% |
| Over 4.5 AST | Oct 28 · projected 5.6 | 5.6 | 57.9% | 48.8% |
| Over 3.5 PTS | Oct 28 · projected 7.3 | 7.3 | 80.2% | 80.0% |
| Over 5.5 AST | Oct 25 · projected 6.5 | 6.5 | 54.2% | 35.1% |
| Over 6.5 PTS | Oct 25 · projected 8.4 | 8.4 | 63.6% | 51.2% |
| Over 4.5 AST | Oct 23 · projected 5.8 | 5.8 | 67.1% | 43.5% |
| Over 4.5 AST | Oct 21 · projected 5.9 | 5.9 | 70.0% | 43.5% |
| Over 0.5 REB | Oct 21 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 84.0% | 82.6% |
| Over 4.5 PTS | Oct 21 · projected 6.6 | 6.6 | 74.0% | 66.7% |
- Under 11.5 PTSNov 6 · projected 9.8
- Model
- 72.5%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 3PMNov 2 · projected 1.3
- Model
- 68.7%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 1.5 STLNov 2 · projected 1.1
- Model
- 70.7%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 4.5 ASTNov 2 · projected 5.3
- Model
- 59.8%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 4.5 PTSNov 2 · projected 7.3
- Model
- 74.9%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 3.5 PTSNov 1 · projected 7.7
- Model
- 81.4%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 3PMOct 30 · projected 1.1
- Model
- 65.5%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 4.5 ASTOct 30 · projected 5.6
- Model
- 59.4%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 3PMOct 28 · projected 1.2
- Model
- 65.6%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 4.5 ASTOct 28 · projected 5.6
- Model
- 57.9%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 3.5 PTSOct 28 · projected 7.3
- Model
- 80.2%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Over 5.5 ASTOct 25 · projected 6.5
- Model
- 54.2%
- Book
- 35.1%
- Over 6.5 PTSOct 25 · projected 8.4
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 4.5 ASTOct 23 · projected 5.8
- Model
- 67.1%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Over 4.5 ASTOct 21 · projected 5.9
- Model
- 70.0%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Over 0.5 REBOct 21 · projected 1.5
- Model
- 84.0%
- Book
- 82.6%
- Over 4.5 PTSOct 21 · projected 6.6
- Model
- 74.0%
- Book
- 66.7%
Frequently asked questions
What is Jamal Shead averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Jamal Shead is averaging 25.8 min, 6.8 pts, 1.7 reb, 5.2 ast.
How did Jamal Shead play in the last game?
On Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at DEN, Jamal Shead recorded 20 min, 3 pts, 3 reb, 6 ast.
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Jamal Shead today?
The strongest current line: Jamal Shead under 11.5 pts (−120): model 72.5% vs book 54.5%, an edge of +18.0 pts.
Every Jamal Shead line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).