EdgeGoatFinal
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans SaintsRecap · NFL · Monday, October 5, 2026
Caesars Superdome, New Orleans
What the model priced before the start
The model's lines frozen before the start: its probability next to the break-even rate of the price it was offered.
| Line | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|
| Cameron Thomas U 0.5 Sacks | 88.9% | 76.5%−325 |
| Gervon Dexter Sr. U 0.5 Sacks | 93.5% | 85.2%−575 |
| Michael Penix Jr. U 31.5 Pass Att | 63.9% | 55.6%−125 |
| Cameron Jordan U 0.5 Sacks | 92.2% | 84.0%−525 |
| Brandon Dorlus U 0.5 Sacks | 93.4% | 85.2%−575 |
| Samson Ebukam U 0.5 Sacks | 92.1% | 85.7%−600 |
| Bryce Lance O 20.5 Rec Yds | 46.5% | 44.4%+125 |
| Bryce Lance O 1.5 Rec | 49.2% | 47.6%+110 |
| Xavier Watts O 4.5 Tkl+Ast | 60.5% | 60.0%−150 |
| Julian Blackmon U 3.5 Solo Tkl | 62.0% | 61.5%−160 |
| Xavier Watts O 2.5 Solo Tkl | 61.7% | 61.5%−160 |
| Drake London U 82.5 Rec Yds | 54.7% | 54.5%−120 |
- Model
- 88.9%
- Book
- 76.5%−325
- Model
- 93.5%
- Book
- 85.2%−575
- Model
- 63.9%
- Book
- 55.6%−125
- Model
- 92.2%
- Book
- 84.0%−525
- Model
- 93.4%
- Book
- 85.2%−575
- Model
- 92.1%
- Book
- 85.7%−600
- Model
- 46.5%
- Book
- 44.4%+125
- Model
- 49.2%
- Book
- 47.6%+110
- Model
- 60.5%
- Book
- 60.0%−150
- Model
- 62.0%
- Book
- 61.5%−160
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 61.5%−160
- Model
- 54.7%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
Frequently asked questions
When does Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints start?
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints (NFL) started at 8:15 PM ET on Monday, October 5, 2026 at Caesars Superdome, New Orleans.
What was the final score of Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints?
Atlanta Falcons won 45–24.
Build around this game in the app
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).