NFL slate · Monday, October 5, 2026

Name: NFL model board, 2026-10-05
Creator: EdgeGoat
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

1 games · 8 priced model edges

← Oct 4·Oct 8 →

Games

8:15 PM ET8 model edges

Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints

Model board highlights

Model probability vs book probability
Player	Line	Model	Book	Edge
Tyler Shough	Over 31.5 Pass AttATL @ NO	68.1%	55.6%−125	+12.6%
Kendre Miller	Over 25.5 Rush YdsATL @ NO	52.4%	40.8%+145	+11.6%

Tyler Shough
Over 31.5 Pass AttATL @ NO
+12.6%
Model
68.1%
Book
55.6%−125
Kendre Miller
Over 25.5 Rush YdsATL @ NO
+11.6%
Model
52.4%
Book
40.8%+145

Model % vs the break-even % of the Hard Rock price. How to read thisFull model board in the app →

The whole NFL board for Oct 5

Every line the model prices on this slate, sortable by edge and expected value, with correlation-aware parlay building.

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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).