EdgeGoat
Matthew Stafford
Los Angeles Rams · #9 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Matthew Stafford | Over 0.5 INTLAR @ PHI | 51.4% | 51.2%−105 | +0.2% |
- Over 0.5 INTLAR @ PHI+0.2%
- Model
- 51.4%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 INT | Sep 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 58.4% | 52.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 rushYards | Sep 27 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 47.2% | 45.5% | won(13) |
| Over 0.5 INT | Sep 21 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 58.0% | 52.4% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 passTDs | Sep 10 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 62.6% | 60.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 rushYards | Sep 10 · projected 2.7 | 2.7 | 49.8% | 43.5% | lost(-1) |
- Over 0.5 INTSep 27 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 58.4%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 rushYardsSep 27 · projected 1.9won(13)
- Model
- 47.2%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 0.5 INTSep 21 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 58.0%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 1.5 passTDsSep 10 · projected 1.9lost(0)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 rushYardsSep 10 · projected 2.7lost(-1)
- Model
- 49.8%
- Book
- 43.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Matthew Stafford today?
The strongest current line: Matthew Stafford over 0.5 int (−105): model 51.4% vs book 51.2%, an edge of +0.2%.
How has the model done on Matthew Stafford's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Matthew Stafford, 3 won and 2 lost.
Every Matthew Stafford line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).