EdgeGoat
Connor Murphy
Edmonton Oilers · #5 · 46 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 SOGEDM @ TOR | 69.1% | 57.4%−135 | +11.6 pts |
- Under 1.5 SOGEDM @ TOR+11.6 pts
- Model
- 69.1%
- Book
- 57.4%−135
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | A | PTS | SOG | HIT | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs PHI | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Nov 9 | vs NYR | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Nov 7 | vs VAN | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Nov 5 | vs ANA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Nov 3 | @ NJ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Nov 1 | @ NYR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Oct 31 | @ NYI | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 28 | vs CGY | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Oct 26 | vs DET | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 |
| Oct 24 | vs TOR | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Oct 22 | vs CAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Oct 20 | vs MIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 |
| Oct 17 | @ UTA | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Oct 15 | vs UTA | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 13 | @ LA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 10 | @ SJ | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Oct 7 | @ ANA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Oct 3 | vs SEA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Oct 1 | @ VAN | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| Sep 29 | vs VAN | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 PTS | Oct 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 74.0% | 72.2% |
| Under 0.5 A | Oct 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 83.2% | 78.9% |
| Under 1.5 SOG | Oct 20 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 66.7% | 61.5% |
| Under 1.5 SOG | Sep 29 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.7% | 54.5% |
- Under 0.5 PTSOct 24 · projected 0.2
- Model
- 74.0%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 0.5 AOct 24 · projected 0.2
- Model
- 83.2%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 1.5 SOGOct 20 · projected 1.2
- Model
- 66.7%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 1.5 SOGSep 29 · projected 1.1
- Model
- 67.7%
- Book
- 54.5%
Frequently asked questions
What is Connor Murphy averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Connor Murphy is averaging 0.1 a, 0.1 pts, 1.1 sog, 1.1 hit.
How did Connor Murphy play in the last game?
On Wednesday, November 11, 2026 vs PHI, Connor Murphy recorded 0 a, 0 pts, 1 sog, 0 hit.
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Connor Murphy today?
The strongest current line: Connor Murphy under 1.5 sog (−135): model 69.1% vs book 57.4%, an edge of +11.6 pts.
Every Connor Murphy line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).