EdgeGoat
Trey Lyles
Minnesota Timberwolves · #41 · 79 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 REBMIN @ NO | 69.2% | 53.5%−115 | +15.7 pts |
- Under 3.5 REBMIN @ NO+15.7 pts
- Model
- 69.2%
- Book
- 53.5%−115
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ HOU | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nov 2 | vs MIL | 21 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 31 | @ SA | 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 30 | vs LAC | 17 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 28 | vs GS | 22 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Oct 26 | @ CLE | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 25 | vs TOR | 14 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Oct 23 | @ ORL | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 21 | @ MIA | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 16 | vs DAL | 18 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 13 | vs PHX | 25 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Apr 11 | vs LAC | 30 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 9 | vs DEN | 38 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 7 | @ DET | 38 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Apr 6 | @ CLE | 40 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Apr 4 | @ CHA | 20 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Apr 2 | @ WSH | 18 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 31 | @ IND | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mar 29 | @ ORL | 25 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Mar 27 | vs POR | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 REB | Nov 4 · projected 2.5 | 2.5 | 68.4% | 60.8% |
- Under 3.5 REBNov 4 · projected 2.5
- Model
- 68.4%
- Book
- 60.8%
Frequently asked questions
What is Trey Lyles averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Trey Lyles is averaging 21.7 min, 6.8 pts, 4.1 reb, 0.9 ast.
How did Trey Lyles play in the last game?
On Wednesday, November 4, 2026 at HOU, Trey Lyles recorded 20 min, 5 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast.
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Trey Lyles today?
The strongest current line: Trey Lyles under 3.5 reb (−115): model 69.2% vs book 53.5%, an edge of +15.7 pts.
Every Trey Lyles line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).