NFL slate · Thursday, October 1, 2026

Name: NFL model board, 2026-10-01
Creator: EdgeGoat
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

1 games · 10 priced model edges

← Sep 28·Oct 4 →

Games

8:15 PM ET10 model edges

Pittsburgh Steelers

Cleveland Browns

Model board highlights

Model probability vs book probability
Player	Line	Model	Book	Edge
Jaylen Warren	Under 95.5 Rush+Rec YdsPIT @ CLE	68.1%	53.5%−115	+14.6%
Aaron Rodgers	Under 4.5 Rush YdsPIT @ CLE	78.2%	67.7%−210	+10.5%

Jaylen Warren
Under 95.5 Rush+Rec YdsPIT @ CLE
+14.6%
Model
68.1%
Book
53.5%−115
Aaron Rodgers
Under 4.5 Rush YdsPIT @ CLE
+10.5%
Model
78.2%
Book
67.7%−210

Model % vs the break-even % of the Hard Rock price. How to read thisFull model board in the app →

The whole NFL board for Oct 1

Every line the model prices on this slate, sortable by edge and expected value, with correlation-aware parlay building.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).