NHL slate · Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Name: NHL model board, 2026-09-30
Creator: EdgeGoat
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

3 games · 26 priced model edges

← Sep 29·Oct 1 →

Games

7:30 PM ET10 model edges

Pittsburgh Penguins

Philadelphia Flyers

7:30 PM ET5 model edges

New York Islanders

Toronto Maple Leafs

10:00 PM ET11 model edges

Los Angeles Kings

Colorado Avalanche

Model board highlights

Model probability vs book probability
Player	Line	Model	Book	Edge
Mats Zuccarello	Over 0.5 PLA @ COL	62.3%	47.6%+110	+14.7%
Sidney Crosby	Over 1.5 SOGPIT @ PHI	75.1%	62.3%−165	+12.8%
Gavin McKenna	Under 1.5 SOGNYI @ TOR	68.7%	56.5%−130	+12.2%
Nazem Kadri	Over 1.5 SOGLA @ COL	75.5%	64.9%−185	+10.6%
Jamie Drysdale	Under 0.5 PPIT @ PHI	67.9%	58.3%−140	+9.6%
Evgeni Malkin	Over 1.5 SOGPIT @ PHI	63.7%	56.5%−130	+7.2%

Mats Zuccarello
Over 0.5 PLA @ COL
+14.7%
Model
62.3%
Book
47.6%+110
Sidney Crosby
Over 1.5 SOGPIT @ PHI
+12.8%
Model
75.1%
Book
62.3%−165
Gavin McKenna
Under 1.5 SOGNYI @ TOR
+12.2%
Model
68.7%
Book
56.5%−130
Nazem Kadri
Over 1.5 SOGLA @ COL
+10.6%
Model
75.5%
Book
64.9%−185
Jamie Drysdale
Under 0.5 PPIT @ PHI
+9.6%
Model
67.9%
Book
58.3%−140
Evgeni Malkin
Over 1.5 SOGPIT @ PHI
+7.2%
Model
63.7%
Book
56.5%−130

Model % vs the break-even % of the Hard Rock price. How to read thisFull model board in the app →

The whole NHL board for Sep 30

Every line the model prices on this slate, sortable by edge and expected value, with correlation-aware parlay building.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).