Final

New England Patriots at Jacksonville JaguarsRecap · NFL · Sunday, September 27, 2026

EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville

What the model priced before the start

The model's lines frozen before the start: its probability next to the break-even rate of the price it was offered.

Pre-game model lines: model probability vs book probability
Line	Model	Book
Gabe Jacas U 0.5 Sacks	97.4%	78.9%−375
Hunter Henry U 3.5 Rec	59.3%	47.6%+110
TreVeyon Henderson U 26.5 Rec Yds	94.0%	82.6%−475
TreVeyon Henderson U 1.5 Rec	59.7%	52.4%−110
Bhayshul Tuten U 33.5 Rec Yds	94.5%	88.2%−750
Trevor Lawrence U 15.5 Rush Yds	57.5%	51.2%−105
Arik Armstead U 0.5 Sacks	83.4%	78.9%−375
Jakobi Meyers U 3.5 Rec	59.8%	55.6%−125
Foyesade Oluokun U 8.5 Tkl+Ast	60.7%	56.5%−130
Josh Hines-Allen O 3.5 Tkl+Ast	49.5%	45.5%+120
Chris Rodriguez Jr. O 25.5 Rush Yds	47.4%	43.5%+130
Drake Maye O 0.5 INT	55.7%	52.4%−110

Gabe Jacas U 0.5 Sacks
Model
97.4%
Book
78.9%−375
Hunter Henry U 3.5 Rec
Model
59.3%
Book
47.6%+110
TreVeyon Henderson U 26.5 Rec Yds
Model
94.0%
Book
82.6%−475
TreVeyon Henderson U 1.5 Rec
Model
59.7%
Book
52.4%−110
Bhayshul Tuten U 33.5 Rec Yds
Model
94.5%
Book
88.2%−750
Trevor Lawrence U 15.5 Rush Yds
Model
57.5%
Book
51.2%−105
Arik Armstead U 0.5 Sacks
Model
83.4%
Book
78.9%−375
Jakobi Meyers U 3.5 Rec
Model
59.8%
Book
55.6%−125
Foyesade Oluokun U 8.5 Tkl+Ast
Model
60.7%
Book
56.5%−130
Josh Hines-Allen O 3.5 Tkl+Ast
Model
49.5%
Book
45.5%+120
Chris Rodriguez Jr. O 25.5 Rush Yds
Model
47.4%
Book
43.5%+130
Drake Maye O 0.5 INT
Model
55.7%
Book
52.4%−110

Frequently asked questions

When does New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars start?

New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars (NFL) started at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville.

What was the final score of New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars?

Jacksonville Jaguars won 35–6.

Build around this game in the app

See every line the model prices for this game, build correlation-aware parlays, and track each leg live.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).