EdgeGoatFinal
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia PhilliesRecap · MLB · Sunday, September 27, 2026
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
What the model priced before the start
The model's lines frozen before the start: its probability next to the break-even rate of the price it was offered.
| Line | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|
| O 10.5 O 10.5 total | 36.5% | 19.0%+425 |
| Nick Martinez O 14.5 Innings Pitched | 74.2% | 63.0%−170 |
| Bryson Stott U 0.5 Batter BB | 86.0% | 77.8%−350 |
| Cedric Mullins U 0.5 Batter BB | 86.7% | 78.9%−375 |
| Victor Mesa Jr. U 0.5 Batter BB | 86.4% | 78.9%−375 |
| Bryce Harper U 0.5 Batter BB | 75.0% | 67.7%−210 |
| Alec Bohm U 0.5 Batter BB | 88.1% | 81.0%−425 |
| Zack Wheeler O 5.5 Pitcher K's | 69.3% | 62.3%−165 |
| Justin Crawford O 0.5 Hits | 66.6% | 60.0%−150 |
| Richie Palacios O 0.5 Hits | 61.1% | 54.5%−120 |
| Victor Mesa Jr. O 0.5 Hits | 65.7% | 59.2%−145 |
| TB ML O moneyline | 44.7% | 39.2%+155 |
- O 10.5 O 10.5 total
- Model
- 36.5%
- Book
- 19.0%+425
- Model
- 74.2%
- Book
- 63.0%−170
- Model
- 86.0%
- Book
- 77.8%−350
- Model
- 86.7%
- Book
- 78.9%−375
- Model
- 86.4%
- Book
- 78.9%−375
- Model
- 75.0%
- Book
- 67.7%−210
- Model
- 88.1%
- Book
- 81.0%−425
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 62.3%−165
- Model
- 66.6%
- Book
- 60.0%−150
- Model
- 61.1%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
- Model
- 65.7%
- Book
- 59.2%−145
- TB ML O moneyline
- Model
- 44.7%
- Book
- 39.2%+155
Frequently asked questions
When does Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies start?
Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies (MLB) started at 2:30 PM ET on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia.
What was the final score of Tampa Bay Rays at Philadelphia Phillies?
Philadelphia Phillies won 7–3.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).