EdgeGoatFinal
Indianapolis Colts at Washington CommandersRecap · NFL · Sunday, October 4, 2026
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
What the model priced before the start
The model's lines frozen before the start: its probability next to the break-even rate of the price it was offered.
| Line | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|
| Odafe Oweh U 0.5 Sacks | 93.6% | 69.7%−230 |
| Adetomiwa Adebawore U 0.5 Sacks | 96.7% | 76.5%−325 |
| K'Lavon Chaisson U 0.5 Sacks | 94.0% | 76.5%−325 |
| Laiatu Latu U 0.5 Sacks | 91.7% | 75.0%−300 |
| Arden Key U 0.5 Sacks | 90.4% | 75.0%−300 |
| Treylon Burks U 1.5 Rec | 59.5% | 44.4%+125 |
| Javon Kinlaw U 0.5 Sacks | 95.4% | 82.6%−475 |
| Dorance Armstrong U 0.5 Sacks | 92.3% | 81.0%−425 |
| Daniel Jones O 226.5 Pass Yds | 59.8% | 50.0%+100 |
| Josh Downs U 6.5 Rec | 59.7% | 51.2%−105 |
| Marcus Mariota U 4.5 Rush Att | 57.0% | 48.8%+105 |
| Daron Payne U 0.5 Sacks | 94.8% | 87.5%−700 |
- Model
- 93.6%
- Book
- 69.7%−230
- Model
- 96.7%
- Book
- 76.5%−325
- Model
- 94.0%
- Book
- 76.5%−325
- Model
- 91.7%
- Book
- 75.0%−300
- Model
- 90.4%
- Book
- 75.0%−300
- Model
- 59.5%
- Book
- 44.4%+125
- Model
- 95.4%
- Book
- 82.6%−475
- Model
- 92.3%
- Book
- 81.0%−425
- Model
- 59.8%
- Book
- 50.0%+100
- Model
- 59.7%
- Book
- 51.2%−105
- Model
- 57.0%
- Book
- 48.8%+105
- Model
- 94.8%
- Book
- 87.5%−700
Frequently asked questions
When does Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders start?
Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders (NFL) started at 9:30 AM ET on Sunday, October 4, 2026 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London.
What was the final score of Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders?
Indianapolis Colts won 30–13.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).