EdgeGoatFinal
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego PadresRecap · MLB · Friday, September 25, 2026
Petco Park, San Diego
What the model priced before the start
The model's lines frozen before the start: its probability next to the break-even rate of the price it was offered.
| Line | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|
| Casey Mize O 14.5 Innings Pitched | 87.1% | 60.0%−150 |
| Nolan Arenado O 1.5 Total Bases | 60.2% | 37.0%+170 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. U 0.5 Batter BB | 97.5% | 78.9%−375 |
| Manny Machado U 0.5 Batter BB | 97.5% | 78.9%−375 |
| Pavin Smith U 0.5 Batter BB | 94.1% | 76.5%−325 |
| Luis Campusano U 0.5 Batter BB | 97.5% | 80.0%−400 |
| Gabriel Moreno U 0.5 Batter BB | 87.7% | 71.4%−250 |
| Jordan Lawlar U 0.5 Batter BB | 97.5% | 82.6%−475 |
| Jake Cronenworth U 0.5 Batter BB | 93.5% | 78.9%−375 |
| Samad Taylor U 0.5 Batter BB | 97.5% | 84.0%−525 |
| Dustin Harris U 0.5 Batter BB | 97.5% | 84.0%−525 |
| Jake Cronenworth O 0.5 Hits | 74.2% | 60.8%−155 |
- Model
- 87.1%
- Book
- 60.0%−150
- Model
- 60.2%
- Book
- 37.0%+170
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 78.9%−375
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 78.9%−375
- Model
- 94.1%
- Book
- 76.5%−325
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 80.0%−400
- Model
- 87.7%
- Book
- 71.4%−250
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 82.6%−475
- Model
- 93.5%
- Book
- 78.9%−375
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 84.0%−525
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 84.0%−525
- Model
- 74.2%
- Book
- 60.8%−155
Frequently asked questions
When does Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres start?
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres (MLB) started at 9:40 PM ET on Friday, September 25, 2026 at Petco Park, San Diego.
What was the final score of Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres?
Arizona Diamondbacks won 11–4.
Build around this game in the app
See every line the model prices for this game, build correlation-aware parlays, and track each leg live.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).