EdgeGoatFinal
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta BravesRecap · MLB · Tuesday, September 29, 2026
Truist Park, Atlanta
What the model priced before the start
The model's lines frozen before the start: its probability next to the break-even rate of the price it was offered.
| Line | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo O 4.5 Pitcher K's | 77.5% | 29.4%+240 |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. U 0.5 Batter BB | 86.8% | 62.3%−165 |
| Matt Olson U 0.5 Batter BB | 88.6% | 73.3%−275 |
| Austin Riley U 0.5 Batter BB | 86.8% | 72.2%−260 |
| Ha-Seong Kim U 0.5 Batter BB | 87.2% | 75.0%−300 |
| Drake Baldwin U 0.5 Batter BB | 87.1% | 75.0%−300 |
| PHI ML O moneyline | 49.6% | 38.5%+160 |
| Bryce Harper U 0.5 Batter BB | 85.1% | 75.0%−300 |
| Mauricio Dubon U 0.5 Batter BB | 89.1% | 80.0%−400 |
| J.T. Realmuto U 0.5 Batter BB | 88.7% | 81.8%−450 |
| Bryson Stott U 0.5 Batter BB | 86.8% | 80.0%−400 |
| Trea Turner U 0.5 Batter BB | 87.6% | 81.8%−450 |
- Model
- 77.5%
- Book
- 29.4%+240
- Model
- 86.8%
- Book
- 62.3%−165
- Model
- 88.6%
- Book
- 73.3%−275
- Model
- 86.8%
- Book
- 72.2%−260
- Model
- 87.2%
- Book
- 75.0%−300
- Model
- 87.1%
- Book
- 75.0%−300
- PHI ML O moneyline
- Model
- 49.6%
- Book
- 38.5%+160
- Model
- 85.1%
- Book
- 75.0%−300
- Model
- 89.1%
- Book
- 80.0%−400
- Model
- 88.7%
- Book
- 81.8%−450
- Model
- 86.8%
- Book
- 80.0%−400
- Model
- 87.6%
- Book
- 81.8%−450
Frequently asked questions
When does Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves start?
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves (MLB) started at 2:00 PM ET on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at Truist Park, Atlanta.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves?
Atlanta Braves won 5–3.
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Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).